Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001840 0.001951 0.002066 0.002194 0.002333 0.002478 0.002643
2025-04-27 0.001692 0.001851 0.002022 0.002220 0.002444 0.002691 0.002984
2025-05-04 0.001605 0.001798 0.002012 0.002269 0.002571 0.002916 0.003344
2025-05-11 0.001551 0.001773 0.002025 0.002337 0.002715 0.003161 0.003734
2025-05-18 0.001483 0.001724 0.002003 0.002357 0.002796 0.003331 0.004041
2025-05-25 0.001394 0.001641 0.001934 0.002312 0.002792 0.003390 0.004206
2025-06-01 0.001327 0.001581 0.001887 0.002289 0.002810 0.003474 0.004403
2025-06-08 0.001286 0.001550 0.001873 0.002305 0.002876 0.003621 0.004692
2025-06-15 0.001232 0.001500 0.001832 0.002282 0.002889 0.003695 0.004881
2025-06-22 0.001186 0.001457 0.001798 0.002266 0.002908 0.003776 0.005083
2025-06-29 0.001142 0.001415 0.001762 0.002246 0.002918 0.003844 0.005267
2025-07-06 0.001096 0.001368 0.001718 0.002211 0.002905 0.003879 0.005403
2025-07-13 0.001030 0.001296 0.001640 0.002131 0.002833 0.003832 0.005428
2025-07-20 0.001007 0.001278 0.001636 0.002153 0.002907 0.004004 0.005805
2025-07-27 0.000993 0.001274 0.001649 0.002201 0.003020 0.004240 0.006302
2025-08-03 0.000987 0.001279 0.001674 0.002265 0.003161 0.004529 0.006912
2025-08-10 0.000966 0.001262 0.001668 0.002284 0.003234 0.004714 0.007360
2025-08-17 0.000927 0.001219 0.001623 0.002241 0.003207 0.004737 0.007529
2025-08-24 0.000897 0.001187 0.001592 0.002219 0.003212 0.004810 0.007791
2025-08-31 0.000880 0.001173 0.001586 0.002235 0.003277 0.004987 0.008259
2025-09-07 0.000853 0.001144 0.001557 0.002213 0.003280 0.005058 0.008532
2025-09-14 0.000829 0.001119 0.001534 0.002197 0.003292 0.005144 0.008842
2025-09-21 0.000806 0.001093 0.001508 0.002178 0.003295 0.005215 0.009126